Doppler radar only fails to see 15% of tornadoes. But the false alarm rate is still around 70% because Doppler often cannot tell us which rotation will touchdown and which will not. Understanding how complex severe storms actually are and how this impacts the warnings can help keep you safe even if you've had warnings in the past where nothing happened to you.
Perhaps the worst March tornado outbreak in the U.S. on record. It was in my blog back on Feb 6th that I discussed the concerns for another active start to tornado season in the U.S. given the La Nina pattern.
This is severe weather awareness week in Georgia. A La Nina spring like this one in the past have been deadly in the nation. The winter headlines in Europe have in the past been a precursor to such cold and snow in the Eastern Third of the US so we have to stay alert that we don't go from mild to wild and from shorts to shivers. Some models suggest this in the Feb. 11-Feb 20 period but others do not.
Goodbye Lee. Katia near-miss, monitoring Gulf and Caribbean for new tropical threats next couple weeks.
Katia and Lee sittin in a tree. Seasons change.
Irene was an historic storm in many ways. The total population affected and the widespread power loss put it at the top of all tropical cyclones to hit the U.S. It's diminished wind despite undiminished low pressure is a meteorological first.
Relief from the long hot summer comes but slowly. No relief from the dryness unless we get a lucky tropical system or two.
What is POP? Probability of precipitation in forecasting parlance. What do those chances mean and what are the odds? Here is a forecast 101 tutorial for "air-mass thundershowers" in the heart of summertime. Although geared toward Georgia it applies in summer across most of the country.
This summer much different than last year across the nation. Severe weather quiets down in the south.